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Amkar vs Dynamo Stavropol

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FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Zvezda Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amkar play Dynamo Stavropol in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amkar averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Dynamo Stavropol averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Amkar won 1, Dynamo Stavropol won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Amkar and 1.31 for Dynamo Stavropol. This points to a Amkar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Amkar
24%
Draws
34%
Dynamo Stavropol
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Amkar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Amkar picked up more points recently compared to Dynamo Stavropol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Amkar Clean Sheet 18%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkar Dynamo Stavropol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Dynamo Stavropol
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Amkar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Sychev Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kratkov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkar 41 / 100
Dynamo Stavropol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkar Dynamo Stavropol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amkar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amkar attacking → ← attacking Dynamo Stavropol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amkar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Dynamo Stavropol let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Amkar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Stavropol lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 43
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518