Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amkar vs FK Kompozit

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2024/2025 Zvezda Stadium, Perm
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Dibirgadzhiev D.
44'
Gryaznov V.
46'
Sub
Tolkachev L. In: Kolesnichenko K.
Out: Tolkachev L.

AI Match Summary

Amkar in this Russian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Amkar
20%
Draws
40%
FK Kompozit
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Amkar at 1.97 per game, FK Kompozit at 1.77.
  • Win probability leans Amkar's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Amkar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Amkar Clean Sheet 68%
FK Kompozit Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkar FK Kompozit
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Russian Cup
Amkar vs FK Kompozit
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibirgadzhiev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

FK Kompozit Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkar 68 / 100
FK Kompozit 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkar FK Kompozit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amkar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amkar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FK Kompozit's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Amkar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Amkar VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amkar

(Home)
26 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
0 : 1
Amkar
21 Sept
Amkar
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
30 Aug
Amkar
2 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
25 Aug
Kirov
5 : 4
Amkar
Page 1 of 6

FK Kompozit

(Away)
22 Feb
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
FK Kompozit
20 Feb
FK Kompozit
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
16 Feb
FK Kompozit
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
12 Feb
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 1
FK Kompozit
07 Feb
CSKA Moscow 2
1 : 3
FK Kompozit
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Pskov 747 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol -
TBD -
TBD -
Kursk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Irtysh Omsk -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 8
FK Kolomna 1
Kosmos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakhalin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar -
TBD -
Ilpar FC 0
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Penza -
FK Kompozit -
TBD -
SSh Leningradets 1
Dynamo Petersburg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
FK Pobeda 1
Angust Nazran 0
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk -
TBD -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 5
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK ZOV 2
Vladimir 3
Khimik -
TBD -
Broke Boys 2
Kvant Obninsk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 4
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tver 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban -
TBD -
Kuban Kholding 2
Maykop 1
Forte Taganrog -
TBD -
TBD -
KDV Tomsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk -
TBD -
Orgenergostroy Dimitrovgrad 3
Lada Togliatti 4
Kirov -
TBD -
Sokol Kazan 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk 1
Biolog 2
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
Cherepovets 0
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Strogino Moscow 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/16-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 4
D. Bryansk 0
Kaluga 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 2
Kursk 0
Spartak Tambov 2
Salyut-Belgorod 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 2
Irtysh Omsk 1
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow 0
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 2
Sakhalin 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 2
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 1
Nosta 0
Torpedo Miass 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk 1
Penza 2
FK Kompozit 2
Dynamo Petersburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
FK Pobeda 1
Astrakhan 2
Legion Makhachkala 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk 0
Dynamo Vladivostok 1
Sibir Novosibirsk 4
Temp Barnaul 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 3
Vladimir 2
Khimik 1
Broke Boys 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 4
Kristall 0
Znamya Truda 2
FK Tver 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban 0
Kuban Kholding 5
Forte Taganrog 5
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 2
Lada Togliatti 0
Kirov 3
Sokol Kazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 2
Biolog 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 3
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma 1
2Drots 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/8-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 0
Luki-Energiya 3
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 4
Salyut-Belgorod 2
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 0
TBD -
Tyumen -
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 1
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Penza 0
FK Kompozit 3
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Ufa -
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 2
Khimik 3
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 0
Znamya Truda 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban Kholding 1
Forte Taganrog 0
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 7
Kirov 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 0
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Quarter-finals
Kamaz 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Luki-Energiya 1
Baltika 2
FC Oryol 2
Saratov 3
Ural 1
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Chelyabinsk 0
Tyumen 2
Amkal Moscow 0
Alania Vladikavkaz 1
Amkar 4
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 3
FK Kompozit 1
Neftekhimik 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Ufa 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Khimik 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 3
Znamya Truda 2
Arsenal Tula 1
Kuban Kholding 0
PFC Sochi 5
Ulyanovsk 2
R. Volgograd 1
Mashuk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
S. Kostroma 1
Yenisey 0
Semi-finals
Torpedo Moscow 0
Baltika 4
Saratov 1
Ural 3
Tyumen 1
Alania Vladikavkaz 0
Amkar 1
FK Kompozit 0
Ufa 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Znamya Truda 0
PFC Sochi 2
Ulyanovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 1
S. Kostroma 2
Final
Baltika 0
Ural 1
Tyumen 3
Amkar 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
PFC Sochi 3
S. Kostroma 2