Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amkar vs Kirov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Zvezda Stadium, Perm
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lauk M.
58'
Gallyamov E.
59' Event
Akhyadov B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 game between Amkar and Kirov finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kirov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Amkar
15%
Draws
67%
Kirov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kirov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Kirov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kirov a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Amkar Clean Sheet 13%
Kirov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkar Kirov
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Russian Cup
Kirov vs Amkar
5:4
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Kirov
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Amkar
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Kirov vs Amkar
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Amkar vs Kirov
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkar 14 / 100
Kirov 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkar Kirov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Amkar scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Kirov has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Amkar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amkar VS Kirov
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amkar

(Home)
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
30 Aug
Amkar
2 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
25 Aug
Kirov
5 : 4
Amkar
22 Aug
Torpedo Miass
5 : 0
Amkar
16 Aug
Amkar
5 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
Page 1 of 6

Kirov

(Away)
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
30 Aug
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 1
Kirov
25 Aug
Kirov
5 : 4
Amkar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)