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Amkar vs Kirov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Zvezda Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lauk M.
58'
Gallyamov E.
59' Event
Akhyadov B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 game between Amkar and Kirov finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kirov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Amkar
39%
Draws
30%
Kirov
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Amkar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Amkar Clean Sheet 13%
Kirov Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amkar Kirov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Kirov
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Amkar
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Kirov vs Amkar
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Amkar vs Kirov
0:0
Mar 27, 2017 Club Friendly
Amkar vs Kirov
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amkar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amkar 31 / 100
Kirov 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amkar Kirov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amkar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Amkar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kirov has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amkar VS Kirov
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518