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Ammanford Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
McKenzie M.
12'
Bell C.
31'
Rowe H.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Ammanford Town and Cardiff Metropolitan University finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff Metropolitan University.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ammanford Town
35%
Draws
56%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ammanford Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff Metropolitan University taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cardiff Metropolitan University have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ammanford Town Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
0:5
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Ammanford Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Oct 19, 2022 League Cup
Ammanford Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
0:3
Aug 6, 2021 League Cup
Ammanford Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
0:4
Nov 8, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Ammanford Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ammanford Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Snaith S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader McKenzie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ammanford Town Cardiff Metropolitan University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ammanford Town scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cardiff Metropolitan University's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ammanford Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ammanford Town VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ammanford Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
04 Sept
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Away)
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 11 10 1 0 29:5 31
2 Penybont 11 8 3 0 22:9 27
3 Connahs Q. 11 8 1 2 27:8 25
4 Caernarfon 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
5 Colwyn Bay 11 7 1 3 21:14 22
6 Barry Town 11 7 1 3 26:20 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 11 5 3 3 22:13 18
8 Cambrian United 11 5 3 3 21:23 18
9 Llandudno FC 11 5 1 5 21:18 16
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 11 5 0 6 18:17 15
11 Haverfordwest 11 3 1 7 7:16 10
12 Briton Ferry 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
13 Flint Town 11 1 2 8 11:24 5
14 Trefelin 11 0 3 8 5:27 3
15 Ammanford Town 11 0 3 8 7:31 3
16 Holywell Town FC 11 0 2 9 12:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)