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Ammanford Town vs Colwyn Bay

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ammanford Town host Colwyn Bay in the Cymru Premier. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ammanford Town have averaged 2 scored and 0.33 conceded recently, against Colwyn Bay's 1.38 scored and 0.88 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.44 - 0.85) back Ammanford Town to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ammanford Town
6%
Draws
4%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ammanford Town come out ahead of Colwyn Bay on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ammanford Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 20%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ammanford Town Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.33 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ammanford Town 85 / 100
Colwyn Bay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ammanford Town Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ammanford Town has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ammanford Town found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Colwyn Bay has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Colwyn Bay has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ammanford Town VS Colwyn Bay
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ammanford Town

(Home)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Treowen
1 : 5
Ammanford Town
24 Mar
Ammanford Town
0 : 0
Cambrian United
20 Mar
Ammanford Town
1 : 0
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
25 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Bootle
14 Jul
Marine
2 : 0
Colwyn Bay
11 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 2
Altrincham
06 Jul
Colwyn Bay
3 : 2
Rhyl
03 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 2
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colwyn Bay00000:00
2Airbus UK Broughton FC00000:00
3Caernarfon00000:00
4Connahs Q.00000:00
5Haverfordwest00000:00
6TNS00000:00
7Flint Town00000:00
8Briton Ferry00000:00
9Cambrian United00000:00
10Llandudno FC00000:00
11Ammanford Town00000:00
12Barry Town00000:00
13Cardiff Metropolitan University00000:00
14Holywell Town FC00000:00
15Penybont00000:00
16Trefelin00000:00
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)