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Ammanford Town vs Colwyn Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Davies A.
23' Event
Hill M.
38'
Scotcher E.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Ammanford Town and Colwyn Bay finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ammanford Town
15%
Draws
54%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colwyn Bay come out ahead of Ammanford Town on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Colwyn Bay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ammanford Town Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Colwyn Bay
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hill M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ammanford Town Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ammanford Town found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Colwyn Bay has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Ammanford Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ammanford Town VS Colwyn Bay
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ammanford Town

(Home)
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1
Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)