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Ammanford Town vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Yonsian F.
20'
Murtas F.
38' Event
Evans J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Ammanford Town and Holywell Town FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ammanford Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ammanford Town
20%
Draws
16%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Ammanford Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ammanford Town Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Holywell Town FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fisher M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yonsian F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ammanford Town 34 / 100
Holywell Town FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ammanford Town Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holywell Town FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holywell Town FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Ammanford Town found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ammanford Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ammanford Town VS Holywell Town FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ammanford Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)