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Amorebieta vs Portugalete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1
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AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Amorebieta and Portugalete finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Amorebieta
20%
Draws
40%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Portugalete carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Amorebieta a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta Portugalete
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Amorebieta vs Portugalete
1:2
Dec 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Portugalete vs Amorebieta
0:3
Jan 23, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Portugalete
2:1
Oct 25, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Portugalete vs Amorebieta
0:0
May 15, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Portugalete
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 59 / 100
Portugalete 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amorebieta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Amorebieta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portugalete has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS Portugalete
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

Portugalete

(Away)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
7 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)