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Amorebieta vs SD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano
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Match Events

24' Event
Arzalluz M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Amorebieta and SD Logrones finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Amorebieta
35%
Draws
35%
SD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amorebieta come out ahead of SD Logrones on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta SD Logrones
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Logrones
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Amorebieta
1:1
May 14, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Amorebieta
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Logrones
4:2
May 1, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Logrones
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzalluz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

SD Logrones Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 42 / 100
SD Logrones 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta SD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

SD Logrones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Amorebieta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS SD Logrones
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
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SD Logrones

(Away)
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
SD Logrones
1 : 2
Espanyol B
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
01 Aug
SD Logrones
0 : 0
Osasuna B
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)