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Amorebieta vs SD Logrones

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano
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Match Events

24' Event
Arzalluz M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Amorebieta and SD Logrones finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Amorebieta
28%
Draws
22%
SD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amorebieta come out ahead of SD Logrones on wins alone.
  • Amorebieta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta SD Logrones
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Logrones
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Amorebieta
1:1
May 14, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Amorebieta
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Logrones
4:2
May 1, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Logrones
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzalluz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SD Logrones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 59 / 100
SD Logrones 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta SD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

SD Logrones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Amorebieta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS SD Logrones
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Gernika Club
05 Apr
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

SD Logrones

(Away)
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
10 May
Castellon B
2 : 3
SD Logrones
03 May
SD Logrones
0 : 1
Tudelano
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Zaragoza B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)