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Stadium Background

Amposta vs Balaguer

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011 game between Amposta and Balaguer finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amposta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Amposta
15%
Draws
0%
Balaguer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amposta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amposta come out ahead of Balaguer on wins alone.
  • Model gives Amposta a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Amposta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Amposta Clean Sheet 19%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amposta Balaguer
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.22 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Amposta
1:3
Sep 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Balaguer
5:2
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Balaguer
4:0
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Amposta
0:1
Feb 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Amposta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amposta 85 / 100
Balaguer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amposta Balaguer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amposta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balaguer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Balaguer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Amposta scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Balaguer
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Amposta

(Home)
12 May
Amposta
2 : 4
Gava
06 May
Santboia
5 : 1
Amposta
29 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Manlleu AEC
22 Apr
Espanyol B
4 : 0
Amposta
15 Apr
Amposta
1 : 4
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

Balaguer

(Away)
19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2
Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3
Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2
Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4
CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
Balaguer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Som Maresme 38 22 7 9 65:36 73
2 Montanesa 38 19 10 9 40:33 67
3 Pobla Mafumet 38 19 10 9 60:36 67
4 Reus FC Reddis 38 17 14 7 52:26 65
5 Espanyol B 38 19 7 12 65:38 64
6 Manlleu AEC 38 14 19 5 58:40 61
7 CE Europa 38 16 10 12 54:42 58
8 Cornella 38 15 10 13 58:44 55
9 Prat 38 13 14 11 49:42 53
10 Gava 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
11 FC Vilafranca 38 13 10 15 48:55 49
12 Terrassa 38 11 14 13 58:53 47
13 UE Castelldefels 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
14 Amposta 38 13 6 19 45:65 45
15 Balaguer 38 11 10 17 42:60 43
16 CD Masnou 38 10 11 17 51:60 41
17 CF Vilanova 38 8 17 13 42:51 41
18 Palamos CF 38 9 14 15 35:45 41
19 FC Asco 38 6 11 21 29:72 29
20 Premia 38 5 12 21 24:66 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)