Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010

Olesa de Montserrat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Amposta play Olesa de Montserrat in the Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amposta averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. Olesa de Montserrat averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Amposta won 2, Olesa de Montserrat won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2010 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Amposta and 1.06 for Olesa de Montserrat. This points to a Amposta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Amposta

24%

Draws

24%

Olesa de Montserrat

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Amposta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Amposta picked up more points recently compared to Olesa de Montserrat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Amposta Clean Sheet 22%

Olesa de Montserrat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Amposta	Olesa de Montserrat
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	12	5
Draws	8	8
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	1.55	0.87
Goals Conceded	2.08	2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Amposta vs Olesa de Montserrat

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

4:2

Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Olesa de Montserrat vs Amposta

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amposta 51 / 100

Olesa de Montserrat 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Amposta Olesa de Montserrat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amposta or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amposta attacking → ← attacking Olesa de Montserrat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amposta scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Olesa de Montserrat let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Amposta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Olesa de Montserrat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 23

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	L Hospitalet	38	25	11	2	75:16	86
2	Reus FC Reddis	38	25	8	5	69:23	83
3	Santboia	38	20	10	8	68:46	70
4	Prat	38	19	10	9	60:33	67
5	Cornella	38	16	13	9	43:41	61
6	Manlleu AEC	38	15	15	8	53:39	60
7	Som Maresme	38	15	11	12	58:42	56
8	CE Europa	38	13	15	10	56:51	54
9	Balaguer	38	13	13	12	55:48	52
10	Amposta	38	13	13	12	58:60	52
11	UE Castelldefels	38	13	8	17	52:62	47
12	Palamos CF	38	13	7	18	42:55	46
13	CF Vilanova	38	12	10	16	50:54	46
14	Pobla Mafumet	38	12	10	16	47:54	46
15	UD Cassa	38	11	11	16	50:61	44
16	Benavent	38	11	10	17	48:69	43
17	Premia	38	9	9	20	35:53	36
18	UE Rapitenca	38	9	7	22	46:71	34
19	Blanes	38	7	6	25	43:85	27
20	Olesa de Montserrat	38	5	11	22	30:75	26