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AMSG FC vs Coachella

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AMSG FC play Coachella in the USL League Two 2024. AMSG FC are favorites here. Recently, AMSG FC averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Coachella averaged 1.08 goals scored and 6.77 conceded. In past meetings, AMSG FC won 3, Coachella won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2025 ended 15:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for AMSG FC and 1.00 for Coachella. This points to a AMSG FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
AMSG FC
15%
Draws
16%
Coachella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AMSG FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AMSG FC picked up more points recently compared to Coachella.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
AMSG FC Clean Sheet 23%
Coachella Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AMSG FC Coachella
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 10 1
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.69 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.03 6.77
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 11.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2025 USL League Two
AMSG FC vs Coachella
15:0
Jun 23, 2024 USL League Two
AMSG FC vs Coachella
2:1
May 12, 2024 USL League Two
Coachella vs AMSG FC
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AMSG FC 67 / 100
Coachella 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AMSG FC Coachella

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMSG FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick AMSG FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AMSG FC attacking → ← attacking Coachella

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AMSG FC scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Coachella let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 7.67 goals.

AMSG FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Coachella lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 8
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 11.75