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Amstetten vs BW Linz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Ertl Glas Stadion, Amstetten
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amstetten host BW Linz in the 2. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Amstetten have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against BW Linz's 2.11 scored and 1.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Amstetten have won 1 to BW Linz's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 2.19) back BW Linz to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Amstetten
20%
Draws
42%
BW Linz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BW Linz come out ahead of Amstetten on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Amstetten Clean Sheet 10%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amstetten BW Linz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly
BW Linz vs Amstetten
2:0
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Amstetten vs BW Linz
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 2. Liga
BW Linz vs Amstetten
2:1
Sep 3, 2022 2. Liga
Amstetten vs BW Linz
1:0
Aug 31, 2022 OFB Cup
Amstetten vs BW Linz
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amstetten 34 / 100
BW Linz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amstetten BW Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BW Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amstetten scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

BW Linz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Amstetten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amstetten VS BW Linz
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Amstetten

(Home)
02 Oct
Ried
3 : 3
Amstetten
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Amstetten
4 : 2
Austria Vienna (Am)
28 Aug
First Vienna
1 : 0
Amstetten
21 Aug
Amstetten
1 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
Page 1 of 6

BW Linz

(Away)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
18 Sept
BW Linz
3 : 0
Admira
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
05 Sept
BW Linz
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)