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Amurrio Club vs Leioa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Etxebarria E.
29' Event
Ruiz E.
31' Event
Ruiz E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between Amurrio Club and Leioa finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leioa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Amurrio Club
30%
Draws
62%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Amurrio Club haven't matched Leioa's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Leioa taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 14%
Leioa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amurrio Club Leioa
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Leioa
0:5
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Leioa
0:0
Nov 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Amurrio Club
3:0
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Leioa vs Amurrio Club
1:1
Aug 17, 2016 Club Friendly
Amurrio Club vs Leioa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amurrio Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Etxebarria E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amurrio Club 10 / 100
Leioa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amurrio Club Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leioa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Amurrio Club scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Amurrio Club stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amurrio Club VS Leioa
0.14 Goals Scored 1
2.14 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amurrio Club

(Home)
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
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Leioa

(Away)
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)