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Amurrio Club vs Pasaia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Amurrio Club and Pasaia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pasaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Amurrio Club
6%
Draws
4%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amurrio Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pasaia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amurrio Club are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amurrio Club Pasaia
Matches Played 31 44
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Pasaia
1:2
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Amurrio Club
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Pasaia
0:2
Oct 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Amurrio Club
2:1
Apr 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Pasaia
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amurrio Club 95 / 100
Pasaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amurrio Club Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amurrio Club's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pasaia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 44 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pasaia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pasaia
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amurrio Club

(Home)
28 Aug
Amurrio Club
2 : 1
Zamudio
30 Apr
Barakaldo
3 : 2
Amurrio Club
23 Apr
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Pasaia
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Amurrio Club
3 : 2
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 7

Pasaia

(Away)
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alaves B382113472:3176
2Beasain381913665:3670
3Portugalete381913660:3370
4Barakaldo38209964:4669
5Basconia381811945:3265
6CD Vitoria3816111155:4959
7San Ignacio381771457:4858
8SCD Durango381318742:2957
9Leioa3815111255:3856
10Anaitasuna FT3814101448:4952
11Lagun Onak3813121342:4451
12Pasaia3813111436:4350
13SD Deusto3811161142:4049
14Urduliz FT381291739:5745
15Aurrera Ondarroa381082036:5538
16Santutxu FC388141642:6038
17Uritarra381082038:5238
18Amurrio Club388131739:4537
19Beti Gazte38682434:8026
20Tolosa38752643:8726
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)