Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015

Amurrio Club

2 - 2

SD Erandio

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between Amurrio Club and SD Erandio finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Amurrio Club

Draws

SD Erandio

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amurrio Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Amurrio Club come out ahead of SD Erandio on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Amurrio Club taking it.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 20%

SD Erandio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Amurrio Club	SD Erandio
Matches Played	37	30
Wins	11	5
Draws	12	4
Losses	14	21
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Amurrio Club vs SD Erandio

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

SD Erandio vs Amurrio Club

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amurrio Club 85 / 100

SD Erandio 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Amurrio Club SD Erandio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Erandio conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Amurrio Club's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Recent resilience: Amurrio Club stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amurrio Club VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	38	20	15	3	68:27	75
2	Gernika Club	38	21	12	5	54:21	75
3	Arenas Getxo	38	20	11	7	62:31	71
4	SCD Durango	38	20	7	11	43:30	67
5	Beasain	38	18	13	7	52:41	67
6	Zalla UC	38	18	12	8	50:36	66
7	Alaves B	38	16	10	12	52:41	58
8	Real Sociedad C	38	15	12	11	38:32	57
9	Balmaseda	38	16	7	15	43:37	55
10	Santurtzi	38	14	9	15	48:49	51
11	Zamudio	38	13	11	14	53:49	50
12	Aurrera de Vitoria	38	14	7	17	44:48	49
13	Santutxu FC	38	12	10	16	31:43	46
14	Bermeo	38	10	15	13	35:49	45
15	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	38:43	43
16	Basconia	38	10	12	16	44:57	42
17	Pasaia	38	10	8	20	35:49	38
18	SD Erandio	38	9	5	24	33:62	32
19	Oiartzun	38	5	11	22	24:55	26
20	Amurrio Club	38	5	9	24	25:72	24