Sport Picks

Stadium Background

An der Fahner Hohe vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Baudisch F.
42' Event
Hagemann T.
44' Event
Hagemann T.

AI Match Summary

Bautzen in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
An der Fahner Hohe
6%
Draws
4%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: An der Fahner Hohe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bautzen have won more games recently than An der Fahner Hohe.
  • An der Fahner Hohe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bautzen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
An der Fahner Hohe Clean Sheet 19%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric An der Fahner Hohe Bautzen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
An der Fahner Hohe vs Bautzen
1:6
Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs An der Fahner Hohe
3:0
Apr 30, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
An der Fahner Hohe vs Bautzen
2:4
Aug 7, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs An der Fahner Hohe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

An der Fahner Hohe Compare

Top Goalscorer Schindler M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bautzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagemann T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Baudisch F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

An der Fahner Hohe 85 / 100
Bautzen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
An der Fahner Hohe Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: An der Fahner Hohe scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: An der Fahner Hohe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

An der Fahner Hohe

(Home)
23 Jan
Arnstadt
1 : 5
An der Fahner Hohe
17 Jun
Neuruppin
2 : 0
An der Fahner Hohe
14 Jun
An der Fahner Hohe
6 : 0
Neuruppin
10 Jun
An der Fahner Hohe
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
25 May
Wacker Nordhausen
1 : 3
An der Fahner Hohe
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Bautzen
3 : 1
Halberstadt
10 May
Halle
1 : 1
Bautzen
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eilenburg34225765:3371
2Krieschow34205981:5365
3Bischofswerdaer34178969:3659
4Plauen34169982:4757
5Bautzen341661266:5554
6Auerbach341214855:4250
7Freital341481249:4250
8Sandersdorf3413101137:4349
9Einheit Wernigerode341391266:6648
10Einheit Rudolstadt3412111150:5347
11Halle341281445:4944
12Ludwigsfelder3411101335:3843
13Grimma3410121241:4642
14An der Fahner Hohe341251750:6741
15Wacker Nordhausen341061842:6536
16Blau-Weiss Zorbau347101758:7731
17SV 1890 Westerhausen346101844:8428
18Oberlausitz Neugersdorf344121827:6624
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023 (Main)