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An der Fahner Hohe vs Neuruppin

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

An der Fahner Hohe play Neuruppin in the Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, An der Fahner Hohe averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Neuruppin averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, An der Fahner Hohe won 1, Neuruppin won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 17, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for An der Fahner Hohe and 2.19 for Neuruppin. This points to a An der Fahner Hohe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
An der Fahner Hohe
22%
Draws
29%
Neuruppin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: An der Fahner Hohe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • An der Fahner Hohe picked up more points recently compared to Neuruppin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
An der Fahner Hohe Clean Sheet 10%
Neuruppin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric An der Fahner Hohe Neuruppin
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Neuruppin vs An der Fahner Hohe
2:0
Jun 14, 2023 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
An der Fahner Hohe vs Neuruppin
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

An der Fahner Hohe Compare

Top Goalscorer Preller C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mockel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Neuruppin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

An der Fahner Hohe 46 / 100
Neuruppin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
An der Fahner Hohe Neuruppin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: An der Fahner Hohe or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

An der Fahner Hohe attacking → ← attacking Neuruppin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

An der Fahner Hohe scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Neuruppin let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

An der Fahner Hohe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Neuruppin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 21
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00