Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anadia vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Anadia
35%
Draws
9%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Agueda haven't matched Anadia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Anadia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Anadia Clean Sheet 20%
Agueda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anadia Agueda
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.06 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs Anadia
1:3
Nov 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Anadia vs Agueda
0:0
Apr 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Anadia vs Agueda
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Agueda vs Anadia
0:1
Aug 1, 2018 Club Friendly
Anadia vs Agueda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anadia 67 / 100
Agueda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anadia Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anadia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Agueda conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Anadia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Agueda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anadia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anadia

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 7

Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)