Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anadia vs Vila Mea

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Carvalho J. O.
39' Event
Meneses P.
Own Goal
53' Event
Flavinho

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Anadia and Vila Mea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Anadia
35%
Draws
35%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Anadia come out ahead of Vila Mea on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Vila Mea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Anadia Clean Sheet 22%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anadia Vila Mea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Anadia
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Anadia vs Vila Mea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho J. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anadia 29 / 100
Vila Mea 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anadia Vila Mea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anadia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vila Mea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Anadia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anadia VS Vila Mea
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Anadia

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 6

Vila Mea

(Away)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)