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Anagennisi Schimatariou vs Asteras Stavrou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Anagennisi Schimatariou and Asteras Stavrou finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anagennisi Schimatariou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Anagennisi Schimatariou
30%
Draws
29%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anagennisi Schimatariou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asteras Stavrou come out ahead of Anagennisi Schimatariou on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Anagennisi Schimatariou Clean Sheet 20%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anagennisi Schimatariou Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Anagennisi Schimatariou vs Asteras Stavrou
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Anagennisi Schimatariou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anagennisi Schimatariou 31 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anagennisi Schimatariou Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anagennisi Schimatariou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anagennisi Schimatariou found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Asteras Stavrou has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Anagennisi Schimatariou remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anagennisi Schimatariou VS Asteras Stavrou
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anagennisi Schimatariou

(Home)
08 Apr
Anthoupoli
3 : 1
Anagennisi Schimatariou
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Schimatariou
2 : 2
Nea Selefkia
28 Mar
Anagennisi Schimatariou
3 : 2
Anagennisi Arta
22 Mar
Proodos Rogon
1 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)