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Anapolis vs Itabaiana

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Juninho
22'
Kauan Guilherme
37'
Juninho

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Anapolis and Itabaiana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anapolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Anapolis
15%
Draws
46%
Itabaiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabaiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Anapolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Anapolis a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 20%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Itabaiana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie C
Anapolis vs Itabaiana
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Serie C
Anapolis vs Itabaiana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cassio Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Itabaiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 42 / 100
Itabaiana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Itabaiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anapolis scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Itabaiana has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Anapolis remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS Itabaiana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
12 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 1
Maringa FC
06 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Itabaiana

(Away)
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 17 9 3 5 25:19 30
2 Internacional de Limeira 17 8 4 5 22:20 28
3 Botafogo PB 17 8 3 6 23:18 27
4 Paysandu PA 16 8 2 6 25:22 26
5 Guarani 16 7 5 4 29:17 26
6 Santa Cruz 17 7 4 6 17:14 25
7 Ypiranga FC 16 7 3 6 22:20 24
8 Amazonas 17 7 3 7 18:20 24
9 SER Caxias do Sul 17 6 6 5 17:14 24
10 Ferroviaria 16 6 6 4 17:14 24
11 Maringa FC 17 6 6 5 29:29 24
12 Floresta EC 17 6 6 5 18:19 24
13 Maranhao 17 6 6 5 14:15 24
14 Figueirense 17 6 6 5 17:21 24
15 Ituano 17 6 4 7 18:18 22
16 Volta Redonda 17 6 3 8 12:21 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 17 4 6 7 18:19 18
18 Itabaiana 17 4 5 8 13:21 17
19 Anapolis 17 4 3 10 15:21 15
20 Confianca 17 3 4 10 11:18 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)