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Anapolis vs Novo Horizonte

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Goiano 2 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anapolis play Novo Horizonte in the Goiano 2 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Anapolis averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Novo Horizonte averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Anapolis won 4, Novo Horizonte won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2015 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Anapolis and 1.25 for Novo Horizonte. This points to a Anapolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Anapolis
18%
Draws
39%
Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Anapolis picked up more points recently compared to Novo Horizonte.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 19%
Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs Anapolis
0:1
Feb 24, 2015 Goiano 2
Anapolis vs Novo Horizonte
2:0
Mar 8, 2008 Goiano
Anapolis vs Novo Horizonte
5:0
Feb 2, 2008 Goiano
Novo Horizonte vs Anapolis
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 43 / 100
Novo Horizonte 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Novo Horizonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Anapolis or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Anapolis attacking → ← attacking Novo Horizonte

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Novo Horizonte let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Anapolis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Novo Horizonte lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 41
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC862017:520
2Anapolis840414:1012
3America GO83149:910
4Novo Horizonte83146:710
5Itaberai82065:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ipora851213:616
2Goiania851211:916
3Santa Helena83329:612
4Rio Verde82337:129
5EC Quirinopolis80265:122