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Anapolis vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Samuel
14'
Eron
37'
Sub
Matheus Lagoa In: Gustavo Henrique
Out: Matheus Lagoa

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Anapolis
20%
Draws
45%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Anapolis haven't matched Santa Cruz's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anapolis Santa Cruz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C
Anapolis vs Santa Cruz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando Viana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Eurico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anapolis 32 / 100
Santa Cruz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anapolis Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Santa Cruz let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Anapolis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anapolis VS Santa Cruz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Anapolis

(Home)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Santa Cruz
2 : 0
SER Caxias do Sul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)