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Anaza vs Mensajero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12
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Match Events

85' Event
Acaymo D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Anaza and Mensajero finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anaza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Anaza
15%
Draws
59%
Mensajero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mensajero come out ahead of Anaza on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Mensajero taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Anaza Clean Sheet 19%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anaza Mensajero
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 1 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.29
Goals Conceded 2 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Anaza vs Mensajero
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anaza Compare

Top Goalscorer Acaymo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mensajero Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anaza 20 / 100
Mensajero 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anaza Mensajero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mensajero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anaza scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

Mensajero let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Anaza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anaza VS Mensajero
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anaza

(Home)
09 Oct
Anaza
0 : 2
San Miguel
03 Oct
Panaderia
5 : 2
Anaza
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
Page 1 of 2

Mensajero

(Away)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
4 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
13 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)