Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anca vs Tocha

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Anca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Anca
15%
Draws
28%
Tocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Anca's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Tocha have produced (0.83).
  • Win probability leans Anca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Anca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Anca Clean Sheet 16%
Tocha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anca Tocha
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 0 9
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Anca vs Tocha
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anca 75 / 100
Tocha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anca Tocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocha has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Anca found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Away concern: Tocha has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anca VS Tocha
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Anca

(Home)
19 Oct
Anca
0 : 3
Casa Pia
21 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Vinhais
25 Sept
Moitense
2 : 1
Anca
11 Sept
Anca
1 : 0
Sanjoanense
11 Oct
Anca
2 : 3
Sacavenense
Page 1 of 2

Tocha

(Away)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Berco 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
Santarem 3
U. Madeira 0
Tirsense 5
TBD -
Montijo -
Trofense 1
Vila Mea 0
TBD -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense -
TBD -
Torreense 3
Uniao Almeirim 0
Alverca 3
Guadalupe 0
Porto da Cruz 1
Camacha 4
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Amora -
TBD -
Ferreiras 3
Louletano 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Lusitania FC 0
Portalegrense 0
Marinhense 11
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Alqueidao 1
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sporting Ideal 4
Vale Formoso 0
TBD -
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 2
Culatrense 0
Beira Mar 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Fazendense 0
1º Dezembro 2
FC Crato 0
Leiria 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Fatima 0
Oleiros 3
Aguia Vimioso 1
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Maria de Fonte 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
Vila Cortez 4
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Juv. Evora 2
TBD -
Academica -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
SC Vila Real 1
Mondinense 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Oriental Dragon 3
Fayal 0
Santa Marta Penaguiao 2
Cinfaes 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Alcains 2
Vitoria Sernache 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 3
Aves 0
Coimbroes 1
Valadares Gaia FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
Amarante FC 1
TBD -
SC Salgueiros -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
Anca 3
Tocha 1
Sacavenense 2
Sintrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 3
FC Madalena 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 2
Brito 0
TBD -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Olhanense 0
Lusitano GC 2
TBD -
Mortagua FC -
Camara de Lobos 2
Leca 1
TBD -
Vizela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Lusitano GC 0
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Condeixa 0
Calvao 0
Carapinheirense 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Atletico CP 0
Sao Roque 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Lusitano FCV 1
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 2
Pevidem 0
Paredes 1
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Ferreira de Aves 0
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 2
FC Foz 0
GD Braganca 0
AD Limianos 1
Aljustrelense 1
Praia Milfontes 0
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Pero Pinheiro 1
SC Praiense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
AD Fafe 3
FC Amares 0
SC Vianense 1
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
Tomar 2
AD Portomosense 3
Real SC 3
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Ericeirense 0
GS Loures 3
Gondomar 7
Meda 0
1/64-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Santarem 1
Tirsense 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 4
Agueda 2
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense 0
Torreense 8
Alverca 2
Camacha 1
Uniao Montemor 0
Feirense 2
Amora 1
Ferreiras 0
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Marinhense 1
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 1
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Merelinense 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca 0
Arouca 5
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 0
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
1º Dezembro 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oleiros 3
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
CDC Montalegre 3
Vila Cortez 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Academico Viseu 1
Juv. Evora 1
Academica 3
Rebordelo 1
Varzim 3
SC Vila Real 2
Casa Pia 3
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense 1
Oriental Dragon 2
Santa Marta Penaguiao 1
Leixoes 5
Vitoria Sernache 0
Fabril do Barreiro 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 2
Valadares Gaia FC 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Caldas SC 1
Covilha 2
Anca 2
Sacavenense 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra 1
Oliveirense 4
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao 2
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 0
Oriental 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 0
Estoril 4
Lusitano GC 2
Mortagua FC 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Vizela 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Carapinheirense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Estrela da Amadora 2
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 1
Paredes 2
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago 1
Vilafranquense 5
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 0
AD Limianos 2
Aljustrelense 1
GD Fontinhas 1
Mafra 0
Pero Pinheiro 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Vianense 0
Vilar de Perdizes 1
AD Portomosense 0
Real SC 3
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho 1
Chaves 0
GS Loures 0
Gondomar 2
1/32-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 1
Braga 2
Torreense 2
Alverca 0
Feirense 0
Amora 1
Marinhense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Merelinense 0
Moreirense 1
Arouca 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Beira Mar 1
Santa Clara 3
Leiria 1
Portimonense 0
Oleiros 0
Gil Vicente 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 1
Varzim 0
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Leixoes 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
FC Porto 2
FC Felgueiras 0
Tondela 1
Penafiel 2
Maritimo 3
SC Salgueiros 2
Covilha 1
Sacavenense 1
Sporting CP 7
Oliveirense 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Desportivo Moncao 1
Rio Ave 2
Oriental 0
Famalicao 3
Estoril 5
Lusitano GC 0
Vizela 0
Boavista 1
Anadia 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
SC Farense 0
Paredes 0
Benfica 1
Vilafranquense 2
Sanjoanense 1
AD Limianos 1
GD Fontinhas 2
AD Fafe 5
Vilar de Perdizes 1
Real SC 0
BSAD 2
SC Espinho 2
Gondomar 1
1/16-finals
Montijo 0
Braga 7
Torreense 1
Amora 0
Cova De Piedade 2
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Santa Clara 1
Leiria 0
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 0
Nacional 3
Leixoes 1
FC Porto 2
Tondela 1
Maritimo 2
SC Salgueiros 1
Sporting CP 3
Pacos Ferreira 0
Rio Ave 2
Famalicao 1
Estoril 2
Boavista 1
Anadia 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Benfica 5
Vilafranquense 0
GD Fontinhas 1
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
SC Espinho 0
1/8-finals
Braga 5
Torreense 0
Moreirense 1
Santa Clara 2
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 2
Nacional 2
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 2
Sporting CP 0
Rio Ave 1
Estoril 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Benfica 4
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Gil Vicente 0
FC Porto 2
Maritimo 1
Estoril 3
Benfica 3
BSAD 0
Semi-finals
Braga 4
FC Porto 3
Estoril 1
Benfica 5
Final
Braga 2
Benfica 0