Sport Picks
Ancona vs Aquila Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group F Stadio del Conero, Ancona 
Match Events
15'
15'
Pecci C.
78'
78'
Zini A.
80'
80'
Pandolfi R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ancona lately — more wins on the board than Aquila Calcio.
- Win probability leans Aquila Calcio's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ancona Clean Sheet 22%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ancona | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Aquila Calcio
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Ancona
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Aquila Calcio
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Ancona
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Aquila Calcio
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ancona Compare
Top Goalscorer Pecci C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pandolfi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Aquila Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Zini A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sparacello C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ancona 21 / 100
Aquila Calcio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ancona Aquila Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ancona scored in 79% of their last 34 games.
Ancona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aquila Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ancona VS Aquila Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ancona
(Home) 20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1 Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1 Montecchio Gallo
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 4
Aquila Calcio
(Away) 20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigor Senigallia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Teramo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Foligno | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Aquila Calcio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ancona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Santegidiese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Recanatese | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Notaresco Calcio | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Termoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Angelana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Pietralunga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
