Sport Picks
Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F Stadio del Conero, Ancona 
AI Match Summary
Ancona host Atletico Ascoli in the Serie D - Group F. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ancona at 1.61 goals for, 0.93 against; Atletico Ascoli at 1.52 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Ancona slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring Ancona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ancona carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ancona have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ancona found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Atletico Ascoli let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ancona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ancona
(Home)Atletico Ascoli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aquila Calcio | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | 4 |
