Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Pinzauti L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Pistoiese have won more games recently than Ancona.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Pistoiese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pistoiese, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ancona Clean Sheet 15%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Ancona vs Pistoiese
0:1
Feb 18, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pistoiese vs Ancona
2:0
Feb 6, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Ancona vs Pistoiese
0:3
Sep 28, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Pistoiese vs Ancona
0:4
Apr 3, 2016 Serie C - Group B
Ancona vs Pistoiese
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ancona Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinzauti L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ancona 35 / 100
Pistoiese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ancona Pistoiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ancona scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ancona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Pistoiese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ancona VS Pistoiese
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ancona
(Home) 10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Ancona
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
02 Apr
Ancona
0 : 2 Teramo
22 Mar
Ancona
1 : 1 AS Sora
Page 1 of 4
Pistoiese
(Away) 01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0 Pistoiese
29 Mar
Sant'Angelo
1 : 3 Pistoiese
25 Mar
Lentigione
1 : 1 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
