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Ancona vs Teramo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Stadio del Conero, Ancona
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Njambe M.
43' Event
Carpani G.

AI Match Summary

Teramo in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teramo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ancona
30%
Draws
39%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Teramo have won more games recently than Ancona.
  • Model gives Ancona a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Teramo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ancona Teramo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Teramo
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Ancona
3:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Teramo
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Ancona
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Ancona vs Teramo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ancona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Njambe M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carpani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ancona 46 / 100
Teramo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ancona Teramo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ancona scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Teramo let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Ancona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ancona VS Teramo
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ancona

(Home)
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
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Teramo

(Away)
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3
Teramo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)