Sport Picks
Anderlecht U23 vs Lierse SK
Belgium
Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Lotto Park, Anderlecht 
Match Events
33'
33'
Stanic A.
Assist: Van Meirvenne C.
54'
54'
Perdichizzi P.
59'
59'
Sub
Eriyo D. In: Van De Ven T.
Out: Eriyo D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lierse SK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lierse SK lately — more wins on the board than Anderlecht U23.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Anderlecht U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Anderlecht U23 | Lierse SK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Anderlecht U23 vs Lierse SK
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Anderlecht U23
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Anderlecht U23
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Anderlecht U23 vs Lierse SK
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Anderlecht U23
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Anderlecht U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahroug A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Onia Seke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Lierse SK Compare
Top Goalscorer Stanic A.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Peuter D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Anderlecht U23 30 / 100
Lierse SK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Anderlecht U23 Lierse SK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lierse SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Anderlecht U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Lierse SK let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Anderlecht U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Anderlecht U23 VS Lierse SK
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Anderlecht U23
(Home) 18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2 Anderlecht U23
12 Sept
Anderlecht U23
2 : 6 Sporting Lokeren
05 Sept
Gent U23
2 : 2 Anderlecht U23
29 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1 Beerschot VA
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1 Virton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Anderlecht U23
2 : 6 Sporting Lokeren
29 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1 Beerschot VA
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1 Virton
17 Apr
Anderlecht U23
5 : 0 OC Charleroi
04 Apr
Anderlecht U23
0 : 5 SK Beveren
Page 1 of 3
Lierse SK
(Away) 11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0 RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 Lierse SK
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0 Lierse SK
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1 Lierse SK
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Beveren | 32 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 74:23 | 88 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 59:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:31 | 64 |
| 4 | RFC Liege | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 44:39 | 53 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 6 | Patro Eisden | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 44:40 | 51 |
| 7 | Eupen | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 44:36 | 47 |
| 8 | Sporting Lokeren | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 48:45 | 42 |
| 9 | Gent U23 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 42:51 | 41 |
| 10 | Lierse SK | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:42 | 38 |
| 11 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Francs Borains | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | 34 |
| 13 | RWDM Brussels | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 50:54 | 33 |
| 14 | Anderlecht U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 31 |
| 15 | Genk U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 42:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Club Brugge U23 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 33:55 | 21 |
| 17 | OC Charleroi | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 26:68 | 16 |
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