Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anderlecht vs Gent

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Anderlecht Logo

Anderlecht

3 - 1
FT
Gent Logo

Gent

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kanga W.
(Penalty)
37'
Skoras M.
43'
Sub
De Cat N. In: Verschaeren Y.
Out: De Cat N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Anderlecht and Gent finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anderlecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Anderlecht
39%
Draws
31%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Anderlecht have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Gent are scoring more at 2.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 15%
Gent Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Gent
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Anderlecht
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Gent
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Anderlecht
4:2
Jan 15, 2026 Belgian Cup
Anderlecht vs Gent
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Gent
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Verschaeren Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Degreef T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gent Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 30 / 100
Gent 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Anderlecht scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Gent let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Gent
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
30 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 1
Hammarby
23 Jul
Hammarby
1 : 1
Anderlecht
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

Gent

(Away)
30 Jul
Gent
1 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
23 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 0
Gent
18 Jul
Twente
0 : 2
Gent
18 Jul
Twente
2 : 2
Gent
14 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 1
Gent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 8 1 1 32:9 57
2 Royale Union SG 10 6 2 2 16:10 53
3 St. Truiden 10 4 2 4 14:11 43
4 Anderlecht 10 3 2 5 16:23 33
5 Gent 10 0 6 4 4:14 29
6 KV Mechelen 10 1 3 6 9:24 29
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)