Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anderlecht vs Hammarby

Europe Europe

Europa League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Europa League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Anderlecht have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Hammarby's 2 scored and 1.5 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 1.88) back Hammarby to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Anderlecht
22%
Draws
60%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby come out ahead of Anderlecht on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • Hammarby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 10%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Hammarby
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 18 / 100
Hammarby 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hammarby conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Anderlecht remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hammarby has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Hammarby
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Boulogne
24 May
Royale Union SG
5 : 1
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby

(Away)
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
24 Jun
Hacken
1 : 4
Hammarby
31 May
Hacken
3 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Besiktas-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
Jagiellonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv1
Universitatea Cluj0
TBD-
PAOK-
Hammarby-
TBD-
TBD-
Anderlecht-
Hajduk Split3
Zilina2
TBD-
Pafos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol1
Aluminij0
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Qarabag Agdam6
Vestri0
CSKA Sofia5
Derry City3
Twente-
TBD-
Vojvodina1
Ferencvaros5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Tromso-
Hradec Kralove-
Besiktas-
Midtjylland-
Jagiellonia-
TBD-
TBD-
Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv-
PAOK-
Hammarby-
Anderlecht-
Hajduk Split-
Pafos-
TBD-
Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
Benfica-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Qarabag Agdam-
CSKA Sofia-
Twente-
Ferencvaros-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salzburg-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-