Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty

Europe Europe

Europa League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kasabulat D.
21'
Oksanen J.
35'
Jukkola O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Anderlecht
15%
Draws
40%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kairat Almaty lately — more wins on the board than Anderlecht.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Anderlecht taking it.
  • Kairat Almaty arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Anderlecht, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 20%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Europa League
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty
3:0
Aug 20, 2026 Europa League
Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biancone G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kairat Almaty Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 85 / 100
Kairat Almaty 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anderlecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Kairat Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Anderlecht remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Kairat Almaty
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Anderlecht
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
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Twente -
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Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
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Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
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Univ. Craiova -
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Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
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Lincoln Red Imps -
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Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
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Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
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KF Egnatia -
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Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
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Rangers -
Larne -
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Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
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Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
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Pafos -
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Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
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Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
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PAOK -
Hammarby -
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Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
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Klaksvik -
Thun -
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Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
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Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
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Midtjylland -
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FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
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Benfica -
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Hearts -
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
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Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
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Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
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Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
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Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
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Klaksvik -
Thun -
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Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
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FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
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Hearts -
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
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Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
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Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
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Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
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Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
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Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
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FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0