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Anderlecht vs Leuven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anderlecht host Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Leuven have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Anderlecht have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Anderlecht have won 1 to Leuven's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.06) point toward Anderlecht. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Anderlecht
30%
Draws
37%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Anderlecht lately — more wins on the board than Leuven.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 20%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Leuven
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Leuven
5:1
Sep 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Anderlecht
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Anderlecht
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Leuven
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Anderlecht
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 36 / 100
Leuven 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anderlecht scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Leuven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Anderlecht has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Leuven
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
08 Nov
Club Brugge
1 : 1
Anderlecht
05 Nov
Anderlecht
2 : 0
Salzburg
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 7

Leuven

(Away)
07 Nov
Leuven
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
01 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 2
Leuven
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
17 Oct
Leuven
1 : 0
Francs Borains
11 Oct
Royale Union SG
1 : 1
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)