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Anderlecht vs Lyon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nartey N.
22' Event
Nakamura K.
Assist: Ouedraogo M.
26'
Niakhate M.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Anderlecht and Lyon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Anderlecht
15%
Draws
51%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Anderlecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Anderlecht are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 16%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Lyon
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
Anderlecht vs Lyon
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs Lyon
3:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs Lyon
2:3
Jul 24, 2020 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs Lyon
0:0
Aug 25, 2009 Champions League
Anderlecht vs Lyon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nartey N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nakamura K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 48 / 100
Lyon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anderlecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Lyon conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Anderlecht stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Lyon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3
Anderlecht
18 Oct
Beerschot VA
2 : 1
Anderlecht
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
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Lyon

(Away)
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0
Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
3 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
4 Ferencvaros 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Juventus 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11 Omonia 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Lyon 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
13 Rennes 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
14 Real Sociedad 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17 Levski Sofia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Din. Zagreb 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19 Sturm Graz 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21 Salzburg 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24 AC Milan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25 Celta Vigo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28 Torreense 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29 Celje 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30 H. Beer Sheva 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33 Plzen 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34 Marseille 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35 Celtic 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)