Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anderlecht vs Lyon

Europe Europe

Europa League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Anderlecht Logo

Anderlecht

Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Lyon Logo

Lyon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Anderlecht host Lyon in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Anderlecht at 1.52 goals for, 1.41 against; Lyon at 1.7 for, 1.56 against. Past meetings favor Lyon slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2022, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back Anderlecht to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Anderlecht
30%
Draws
31%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Anderlecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Lyon
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs Lyon
3:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs Lyon
2:3
Jul 24, 2020 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs Lyon
0:0
Aug 25, 2009 Champions League
Anderlecht vs Lyon
1:3
Aug 19, 2009 Champions League
Lyon vs Anderlecht
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 32 / 100
Lyon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Lyon has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Anderlecht stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Lyon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Anderlecht
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
30 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 0
Anderlecht
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

Lyon

(Away)
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
Lyon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunderland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crystal Palace 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Real Sociedad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Celta Vigo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Salzburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Sturm Graz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Plzen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sparta Prague 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Anderlecht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Royale Union SG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Marseille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Rennes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Lyon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Bayer Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Juventus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 AC Milan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nijmegen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 AZ Alkmaar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Torreense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Levski Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Din. Zagreb 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Omonia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 OFI Crete 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Olympiacos Piraeus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 H. Beer Sheva 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 Lillestrom 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Jagiellonia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 Lech Poznan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Benfica 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 Celtic 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Celje 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Besiktas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Ferencvaros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)