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Stadium Background

Anderlecht vs PAOK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Petrot L.
34' Event
Zivkovic A.
Assist: Taison
43'
Baba A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Anderlecht
15%
Draws
51%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Anderlecht have won more games recently than PAOK.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Anderlecht taking it.
  • Anderlecht have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 15%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht PAOK
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Europa League
Anderlecht vs PAOK
3:2
Aug 6, 2026 Europa League
PAOK vs Anderlecht
0:1
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Anderlecht vs PAOK
1:3
Jun 29, 2018 Club Friendly
PAOK vs Anderlecht
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrot L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ambros L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 41 / 100
PAOK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Anderlecht scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Anderlecht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS PAOK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3
Anderlecht
18 Oct
Beerschot VA
2 : 1
Anderlecht
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6

PAOK

(Away)
01 Nov
PAOK
2 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
25 Oct
OFI Crete
2 : 1
PAOK
18 Oct
PAOK
2 : 1
Iraklis FC
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
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Twente -
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Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
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Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
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Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
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Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
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KF Egnatia -
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Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
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Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
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Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
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Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
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Klaksvik -
Thun -
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Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
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Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
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Benfica -
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Hearts -
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
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Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0