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Anderlecht vs St. Truiden

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Lotto Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anderlecht play St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Anderlecht averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. St. Truiden averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Anderlecht won 3, St. Truiden won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Anderlecht and 2.19 for St. Truiden. This points to a St. Truiden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Anderlecht
6%
Draws
90%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Truiden has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Anderlecht.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for St. Truiden.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 10%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs St. Truiden
3:1
Apr 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs St. Truiden
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikan D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertaccini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Sissako A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 10 / 100
St. Truiden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht St. Truiden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

St. Truiden let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Anderlecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. Truiden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS St. Truiden
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Brugge1081132:957
2Royale Union SG1062216:1053
3St. Truiden1042414:1143
4Anderlecht1032516:2333
5Gent100644:1429
6KV Mechelen101369:2429