Sport Picks

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Anderlecht vs St. Truiden

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Muja A.
14'
Sub
Camara I. In: Sardella K.
Out: Camara I.
20' Event
Sikan D.
Assist: Degreef T.

AI Match Summary

Anderlecht in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anderlecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Anderlecht
15%
Draws
32%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Truiden lately — more wins on the board than Anderlecht.
  • Anderlecht are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 17%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht St. Truiden
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs St. Truiden
3:1
Apr 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs St. Truiden
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Anderlecht
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikan D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertaccini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Sissako A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 48 / 100
St. Truiden 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anderlecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anderlecht found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

St. Truiden let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Anderlecht remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS St. Truiden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Anderlecht
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
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St. Truiden

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 8 1 1 32:9 57
2 Royale Union SG 10 6 2 2 16:10 53
3 St. Truiden 10 4 2 4 14:11 43
4 Anderlecht 10 3 2 5 16:23 33
5 Gent 10 0 6 4 4:14 29
6 KV Mechelen 10 1 3 6 9:24 29
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)