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Anderlecht vs Waregem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Lemoine L.
34'
Ambros L.
40' Event
Bentayeb T.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Anderlecht and Waregem finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anderlecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Anderlecht
15%
Draws
28%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Anderlecht haven't matched Waregem's recent run of results.
  • Anderlecht are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 20%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Waregem
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 17 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.67 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Waregem
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Anderlecht
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Waregem
2:3
Jan 18, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Waregem
2:3
Oct 20, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Anderlecht
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Winkler M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bentayeb T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Waregem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 76 / 100
Waregem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anderlecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Anderlecht's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Waregem conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Waregem's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Waregem
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
25 Oct
Gent
4 : 0
Anderlecht
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3
Anderlecht
18 Oct
Beerschot VA
2 : 1
Anderlecht
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
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Waregem

(Away)
30 Oct
Waregem
2 : 4
Club Brugge
24 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Waregem
17 Oct
Waregem
3 : 0
RFC Seraing
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
9 St. Liege 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
10 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
11 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
12 SK Beveren 10 3 1 6 13:20 10
13 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
14 KV Mechelen 9 2 3 4 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 9 1 1 7 3:19 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)