Sport Picks

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Anderlecht vs Waregem

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Anderlecht host Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Anderlecht at 1.59 goals for, 1.38 against; Waregem at 2.11 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Anderlecht have won 2 to Waregem's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Waregem. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Anderlecht
30%
Draws
37%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Waregem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Anderlecht haven't matched Waregem's recent run of results.
  • Waregem are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 18%
Waregem Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anderlecht Waregem
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Anderlecht
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Waregem
2:3
Jan 18, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Waregem
2:3
Oct 20, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Anderlecht
3:2
Feb 12, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Anderlecht
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anderlecht 20 / 100
Waregem 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anderlecht Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waregem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Anderlecht's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Waregem conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Anderlecht stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anderlecht VS Waregem
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anderlecht

(Home)
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Anderlecht
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
30 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 0
Anderlecht
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 7

Waregem

(Away)
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1
Genk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 5 5 0 0 10:2 15
2 Royale Union SG 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
3 Club Brugge 5 4 0 1 9:2 12
4 Charleroi 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
5 Waregem 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
6 St. Liege 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 Genk 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
9 St. Truiden 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
10 Lommel SK 5 2 1 2 6:3 7
11 Antwerp 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
12 SK Beveren 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Westerlo 5 1 1 3 9:14 4
14 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
15 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
17 Leuven 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
18 Kortrijk 5 0 0 5 1:12 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)