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Andes CF vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Casariego M.
23' Event
Lanza E.
25' Event
Lanza E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Andes CF and Astur finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Andes CF
35%
Draws
43%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Astur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Astur haven't matched Andes CF's recent run of results.
  • Astur are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Andes CF Clean Sheet 17%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andes CF Astur
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.14 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Astur
3:3
Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Astur
3:0
Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Andes CF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andes CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Lanza E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Astur Compare

Top Goalscorer Casariego M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farpon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andes CF 23 / 100
Astur 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andes CF Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Andes CF scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Andes CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Andes CF VS Astur
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Andes CF

(Home)
01 Nov
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Andes CF
25 Oct
Andes CF
3 : 3
Astur
18 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Andes CF
11 Oct
Condal
2 : 0
Andes CF
04 Oct
Andes CF
0 : 3
Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 6

Astur

(Away)
01 Nov
Llanes
1 : 0
Astur
25 Oct
Andes CF
3 : 3
Astur
18 Oct
Astur
1 : 1
Condal
11 Oct
Gijon Industrial
2 : 2
Astur
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)