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Andes CF vs Covadonga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andes CF host Covadonga in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Andes CF have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Covadonga's 2.29 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Covadonga slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2015, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.31) point toward Covadonga. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Andes CF
30%
Draws
54%
Covadonga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Covadonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Covadonga a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Covadonga have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Andes CF Clean Sheet 10%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andes CF Covadonga
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.14 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Covadonga
3:0
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Andes CF
3:1
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs Andes CF
6:0
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Covadonga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andes CF 10 / 100
Covadonga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andes CF Covadonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Andes CF found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Covadonga let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Andes CF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Andes CF VS Covadonga
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Andes CF

(Home)
01 Nov
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Andes CF
25 Oct
Andes CF
3 : 3
Astur
18 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Andes CF
11 Oct
Condal
2 : 0
Andes CF
04 Oct
Andes CF
0 : 3
Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 6

Covadonga

(Away)
01 Nov
Covadonga
1 : 1
Condal
29 Oct
Covadonga
0 : 1
Valladolid
25 Oct
Gijon Industrial
0 : 2
Covadonga
18 Oct
Covadonga
4 : 0
CD Mosconia
11 Oct
EI San Martin
4 : 2
Covadonga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)