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Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Turdimurodov R.
(Penalty)
23'
Sulaymonov B.
38' Event
Shala A.
Assist: Eshmurodov U.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Andijan and Nasaf Qarshi finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nasaf Qarshi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Andijan
15%
Draws
58%
Nasaf Qarshi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Andijan haven't matched Nasaf Qarshi's recent run of results.
  • Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Andijan Clean Sheet 14%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andijan Nasaf Qarshi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Andijan
1:0
Aug 7, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Andijan
1:1
May 27, 2025 Super Cup
Nasaf Qarshi vs Andijan
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andijan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nasaf Qarshi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gulomov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andijan 10 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andijan Nasaf Qarshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Andijan scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Nasaf Qarshi let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Andijan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Andijan VS Nasaf Qarshi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Andijan

(Home)
09 Oct
Buxoro
3 : 2
Andijan
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

Nasaf Qarshi

(Away)
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)