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Andijan vs Qizilqum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andijan host Qizilqum in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Andijan have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Qizilqum's 1.19 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Qizilqum slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Qizilqum. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Andijan
15%
Draws
42%
Qizilqum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Andijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Andijan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Qizilqum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Andijan Clean Sheet 16%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andijan Qizilqum
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Andijan
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Andijan
2:1
Jun 19, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Qizilqum
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Super League
Andijan vs Qizilqum
0:0
Aug 7, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Qizilqum vs Andijan
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andijan 19 / 100
Qizilqum 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andijan Qizilqum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andijan's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Qizilqum let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Andijan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Andijan VS Qizilqum
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Andijan

(Home)
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
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Qizilqum

(Away)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)