Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Andorra vs Albania

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadi de la FAF
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andorra play Albania in the World Championship 2026. Albania are favorites here. Recently, Andorra averaged 0.29 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Albania averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Andorra won 0, Albania won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 13, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Andorra and 1.44 for Albania. This points to a Albania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Andorra
19%
Draws
67%
Albania
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Albania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Andorra picked up more points recently compared to Albania.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%
Andorra Clean Sheet 16%
Albania Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andorra Albania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.29 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship
Andorra vs Albania
0:1
Mar 24, 2025 World Championship
Albania vs Andorra
3:0
Nov 15, 2021 World Championship
Albania vs Andorra
1:0
Mar 25, 2021 World Championship
Andorra vs Albania
0:1
Nov 14, 2019 Euro
Albania vs Andorra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Albania Compare

Top Goalscorer Asllani K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andorra 16 / 100
Albania 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andorra Albania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Albania & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Andorra attacking → ← attacking Albania

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andorra scored in 19% of their last 31 games.

Albania let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Andorra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Albania lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 39
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280