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Andorra vs Malta Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Estadi de la FAF, Encamp
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Oliveira I.
14'
San Nicolas M.
17' Event
Lopez G.

AI Match Summary

Malta in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Andorra
20%
Draws
74%
Malta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Malta have won more games recently than Andorra.
  • Model gives Malta a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Malta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Andorra Clean Sheet 16%
Malta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andorra Malta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.3 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
1:0
Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
1:2
Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Malta Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardona I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teuma T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andorra 23 / 100
Malta 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andorra Malta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malta let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Andorra's goal record stands at 20% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Andorra remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Andorra VS Malta
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Andorra

(Home)
04 Oct
Malta
1 : 0
Andorra
30 Sept
Lithuania
3 : 0
Andorra
27 Sept
Gibraltar
0 : 0
Andorra
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
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Malta

(Away)
04 Oct
Malta
1 : 0
Andorra
01 Oct
Malta
1 : 1
Gibraltar
27 Sept
Malta
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Gibraltar 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Andorra 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azerbaijan 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Lithuania 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Liechtenstein 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League C)