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Angelana vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angelana host Recanatese in the Serie D - Group F. Little to choose between these two on current form. Angelana have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Recanatese's 1.28 scored and 1.72 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Recanatese to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Angelana
15%
Draws
0%
Recanatese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angelana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recanatese come out ahead of Angelana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Angelana a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Angelana Clean Sheet 68%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angelana Recanatese
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angelana 77 / 100
Recanatese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angelana Recanatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angelana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Recanatese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Recanatese let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Angelana's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Angelana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angelana VS Recanatese
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Angelana

(Home)
18 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
3 : 1
Angelana
11 Oct
Angelana
0 : 1
Pietralunga
04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0
Angelana
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
Page 1 of 2

Recanatese

(Away)
21 Oct
Ternana
5 : 1
Recanatese
18 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Aquila Calcio
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Recanatese
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)