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Angers vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angers host Troyes in the Ligue 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Troyes have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Angers have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Angers slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 20, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.75) point toward Troyes. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Angers
30%
Draws
28%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Angers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Troyes come out ahead of Angers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Angers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Angers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Angers Clean Sheet 68%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers Troyes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Angers vs Troyes
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Angers
1:4
May 27, 2023 Ligue 1
Angers vs Troyes
2:1
Aug 28, 2022 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Angers
3:1
Jan 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Angers vs Troyes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 68 / 100
Troyes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Angers's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Troyes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Angers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS Troyes
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Troyes

(Away)
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Lyon 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Lille 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Rennes 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
6 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
7 Brest 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
10 Marseille 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
11 Lens 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
12 Angers 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
14 PSG 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)