Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Anges Verts vs Etoile de Kivu Prediction & H2H Stats

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Anges Verts and Etoile de Kivu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Anges Verts
20%
Draws
42%
Etoile de Kivu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile de Kivu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Etoile de Kivu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Anges Verts Clean Sheet 14%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anges Verts Etoile de Kivu
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Etoile de Kivu
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts
3:2
Mar 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Etoile de Kivu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anges Verts 31 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anges Verts Etoile de Kivu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anges Verts scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Etoile de Kivu has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Anges Verts went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anges Verts VS Etoile de Kivu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anges Verts

(Home)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
Aigles du Congo
4 : 1
Anges Verts
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 6

Etoile de Kivu

(Away)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)