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Anges Verts vs Motema Pembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Anges Verts and Motema Pembe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anges Verts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Anges Verts
35%
Draws
25%
Motema Pembe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anges Verts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Motema Pembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Anges Verts a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Anges Verts Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anges Verts Motema Pembe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Motema Pembe
1:0
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Anges Verts
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Anges Verts
0:0
May 31, 2025 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Motema Pembe
1:2
Mar 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Motema Pembe
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anges Verts 49 / 100
Motema Pembe 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anges Verts Motema Pembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anges Verts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anges Verts scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Motema Pembe conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Anges Verts has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anges Verts VS Motema Pembe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Anges Verts

(Home)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
Aigles du Congo
4 : 1
Anges Verts
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 6

Motema Pembe

(Away)
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)