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Angola U23 vs South Africa U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angola U23 play South Africa U23 in the Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Angola U23 averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. South Africa U23 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Angola U23 won 0, South Africa U23 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2019 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Angola U23 and 1.32 for South Africa U23. This points to a South Africa U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Angola U23
28%
Draws
39%
South Africa U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: South Africa U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Angola U23 picked up more points recently compared to South Africa U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.32 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Angola U23 Clean Sheet 18%
South Africa U23 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angola U23 South Africa U23
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
South Africa U23 vs Angola U23
3:0
Mar 22, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Angola U23 vs South Africa U23
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angola U23 33 / 100
South Africa U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angola U23 South Africa U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Africa U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Angola U23 attacking → ← attacking South Africa U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angola U23 scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

South Africa U23 let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Angola U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

South Africa U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 42
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50