Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca C 2025

Mesquita

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Angra dos Reis play Mesquita in the Carioca C 2025. Angra dos Reis are favorites here. Recently, Angra dos Reis averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Mesquita averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Angra dos Reis won 1, Mesquita won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 13, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Angra dos Reis and 1.44 for Mesquita. This points to a Angra dos Reis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Angra dos Reis

15%

Draws

25%

Mesquita

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angra dos Reis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Angra dos Reis picked up more points recently compared to Mesquita.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Angra dos Reis Clean Sheet 16%

Mesquita Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Angra dos Reis	Mesquita
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	6	3
Losses	15	21
Goals Scored	1.23	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.83	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Carioca C

Angra dos Reis vs Mesquita

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angra dos Reis 57 / 100

Mesquita 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Angra dos Reis Mesquita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angra dos Reis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Angra dos Reis & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Angra dos Reis attacking → ← attacking Mesquita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angra dos Reis scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mesquita let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Angra dos Reis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mesquita lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 21

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paraty	12	9	1	2	33:11	28
2	Santa Cruz RJ	12	8	3	1	39:14	27
3	Riostrense	12	8	2	2	29:11	26
4	Uniao Central	12	7	3	2	34:18	24
5	Juventus RJ	12	7	3	2	24:9	24
6	EC Vera Cruz	12	6	2	4	18:11	20
7	Angra dos Reis	12	6	1	5	24:21	19
8	Rio Barra	11	4	0	7	12:24	12
9	Buzios	12	4	0	8	16:33	12
10	Duque Caxiense	12	3	1	8	15:19	10
11	Caac Brazil	12	3	0	9	10:35	9
12	Mesquita	12	2	1	9	8:28	7
13	Barcelona EC	11	1	1	9	5:33	4